Extreme Natural Hazards, Disaster Risks and Societal Implications

Extreme Natural Hazards, Disaster Risks and Societal Implications

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This book presents a unique, interdisciplinary approach to disaster risk research, combining cutting-edge natural science and social science methodologies. Bringing together leading scientists, policy makers and practitioners from around the world, it presents the risks of global hazards such as volcanoes, seismic events, landslides, hurricanes, precipitation floods and space weather, and provides real-world hazard case studies from Latin America, the Caribbean, Africa, the Middle East, Asia and the Pacific region. Avoiding complex mathematics, the authors provide insight into topics such as the vulnerability of society, disaster risk reduction policy, relations between disaster policy and climate change, adaptation to hazards, and (re)insurance approaches to extreme events. This is a key resource for academic researchers and graduate students in a wide range of disciplines linked to hazard and risk studies, including geophysics, volcanology, hydrology, atmospheric science, geomorphology, oceanography and remote sensing, and for professionals and policy makers working in disaster prevention and mitigation.This chapter is focused on the theoretical foundations of predicting individual extreme events. ... (Kalmana€“Bucy) (Kalman and Bucy, 1961) and non-linear ( Kushnera€“Zakai) (Kushner, 1964; Zakai, 1969; Chow, 2007) filtering, ... in its infancy, their values can hardly be measured with the existing instruments, or predicted using the available statistical methods. ... The following types of premonitory patterns have been established by exploratory data analysis and numerical modelling: (i)anbsp;...

Title:Extreme Natural Hazards, Disaster Risks and Societal Implications
Author: Alik Ismail-Zadeh, Jaime Urrutia Fucugauchi, Andrzej Kijko, Kuniyoshi Takeuchi, Ilya Zaliapin
Publisher:Cambridge University Press - 2014-04-17

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